Dare to Draft: Week 4 Edition

By Rob Schwarz (@chiruxindfs)

I tweeted out some guys I liked in Week 3. I completely missed at the QB position.  I was having a pretty rough week all around (you can follow the history on twitter) so let’s just chalk it up to that.  I promise to do better this week but if I miss again you may just want to start challenging me on the DRAFT App.

QUARTERBACK

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1. Tom Brady, New England Patriots

Tom Brady has been great the last two weeks. He was not bad in Week 1 either, despite being outperformed by Alex Smith on Thursday night. Brady is going up against a porous Panthers’ defense. The Panthers have struggled against top wide receivers, yet they are ranked ninth against the pass in DVOA. The season is still young and I think they fall out of the top 10 in this area after the Patriots destroy them. They gave up 34 points to the Saints last week and I see a similar number for the Patriots on Sunday.

2. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

I am hesitant to list Brees here. That said, he has the biggest upside. Probably even more upside than Tom Brady. Brees is facing the Dolphins, a team which is ranked last in DVOA against the pass through its two games. So why am I hesitant to start one of the best statistical quarterbacks?

Simple, this game takes place in London. We all know how Brees plays when he is not in a dome. He is going across the pond to play in a very large, open stadium. I will risk it in some lineups but don’t want too much stock. I definitely will not spend up for him in salary-type formats like FanDuel or DraftKings.

 Others to consider:

 Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawsk; Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles; Philip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers; Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans

 RUNNING BACK

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1. Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams

Gurley could have had five touchdowns in Week 3, but failed to cross the goalline on two of them. He is not as efficient a running back as guys like Le’Veon Bell or Ezekiel Elliot, but he has a solid matchup against the Cowboys and Sean McVay leans on him. I like Gurley to finish with two touchdowns again this week. Hopefully his yardage will be there too.

 2. LeSean McCoy, Buffalo Bills

 McCoy has been a little of a disappointment this season. He had a decent Week 1, but nothing since. He also has not found the end zone yet. I think that changes in Week 4. I am not sure I can pay up for him on the DRAFT app, but if he falls to the second round, snag this man. He is facing his best matchup of the year. Atlanta is 31st in DVOA against the run and 16th against pass catching running backs. McCoy can do both so fire him up!

 Others to Consider:

 Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys; Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings; Chris Carson, SEA; Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins

 WIDE RECEIVERS

1. A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals

 Andy Dalton finally looked like a NFL quarterback last week. His favorite target is and always will be A.J. Green. Green is coming off a 10-catch, 100-plus receiving yard game. He also caught a touchdown. Do not be afraid to go back to him. He has a great matchup. The Browns are one of the worst team at defending the pass. Not to mention, they are second to last at defending the top receiver of a team. They are averaging 139 yards allowed to a team's top receiver over the first three weeks. I think that trend continues with Green going off.

2. Odell Beckham, New York Giants

 Another guy who had a big game in Week three is Odell Beckham Jr. Beckham has been known as a slow starter. Well, it didn’t take too long for him to heat up. Eli Manning (a guy I like in DFS) finally threw the ball to his receivers. Beckham, Sterling Shepard and Brandon Marshall all had solid games. This week the Giants are going up against the Bucs. The Bucs have only played two games, but are already struggling against the pass. This plagued them in 2016 too. Beckham should face off at times against Brent Grimes, against who he has a plus-matchup. Hargreaves does not scare me either. With the Giants not being able to run the ball, look for Beckham to see 13 or more targets this week. I’m going to target one of these two receivers in most my drafts.

Others to Consider

 Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers; Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings; Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints; Rishard Matthews, Tennessee Titans

 TIGHT END

As I said...I will not recommend anyone here other than Rob Gronkowski for obvious reasons. No need to mention anyone else.

 Glad to be back for Week 4! If you have any questions, reach out to me on Twitter (@ChiRuxinDFS) or reach out to the @FLAFFLHouse account. If you like the content, please like, retweet and share elsewhere! If you need deeper plays, do not be afraid to ask who else I like at these positions. I dive deeper into things for my DFS lineups and am willing to share who I like free of charge! Best of luck!