Written by Rob Schwarz Jr., Writer and DFS Expert, @chiruxin on the Fantasy Life App and @chisportsnut25 on Twitter
I am slowly getting better every week. Won on 75% of my lineups, but I only walked away with a little over five dollars profit. What is good about Week 4 is that we now have a better sense of what teams are going to be. For example, it is clear the Falcons cannot defend the Tight End and the Vikings are still an elite defense.
What does this mean for DFS? Well it means we can make better educated guesses at selecting players each week. There is always a bit of luck involved, but for cash games if you play the odds you are usually going to end up on top.
Alright, onto the nitty-gritty!
Aaron Rodgers was a great play, Philip Rivers was just okay and Alex Smith not so much. I ended up changing to Tannehill in many lineups which paid off for me. Oh, this brings up a good point. This is very early in the week and many things can change. Reach me on Twitter or on the Fantasy Life App if you want advice closer to kickoff!
Cam Newton - $7,800 (CAR @ ATL)
Coming off a bad week, Cam will look to turn things around in Week 4. What better way to do that than facing the Falcons? The Falcons have allowed the second most points the QB position and I think Newton bounces back in a big way.
Matthew Stafford - $7,300 (DET @ CHI)
I know, this is not a mid-priced guy, but I think I’m spending up at quarterback this week. I really like Cam, Brees and Stafford. If you want a mid-priced guy Joe Flacco or Kirk Cousins may be options I’d consider. Stafford goes up against a battered Chicago defense and although the Bears have not given up a ton of fantasy points the QB position, they also have not played against a guy with Stafford’s ability and experience.
Brian Hoyer - $5,000 (CHI vs. DET)
I gave you Hoyer as my really cheap option last week and he did not disappoint. He put up 22 fantasy points and was minimum salary. Guess what, he is minimum salary again and is facing the Lions – a team that has given up the most fantasy points to the QB position. I will likely throw Hoyer into a couple GPP lineups this week.
Could it be David Johnson three weeks in a row? I mean, the guy is a beast and has a decent matchup, so why not? I am also considering Le’Veon Bell, but I’m not sure I want to put all my cards on a guy who hasn’t played in such a long time. Oh and I hope you listened to me about Jeremy Hill. Hot Damn!
David Johnson - $7,800 (ARI vs. LA)
Johnson will be going up against a Rams’ defense that allowed Charles Sims to gain 124 all-purpose yards. I like Sims, but he is not at the same talent level as Johnson. Johnson should hit value again even at this price point.
Melvin Gordon - $6,300 (SD vs. NO)
Another week of Melvin Gordon too, blasphemy! The Chargers will face off against the Saints were just rocked by the Falcons’ running back duo of Tevin Coleman and Devonta Freeman. I do not foresee Gordon gaining almost 300 all-purpose yards, but he should still have a great game.
LeGarrette Blount - $5,000 (NE vs. BUF)
One last week before the aftermath of Deflate Gate will be behind us. Yeah right, no one will let Brady live that one down except Patriot fans. Either way, Bill Belichick should rely heavily on Blount again. Buffalo has been susceptible to the run and currently allowing the tenth most fantasy points the RB position.
Amari Cooper - $7,600 (OAK @ BAL)
I almost went Antonio Brown here again, and I would not try talking anyone out of using him. Hell, he will be in a couple of my lineups I am sure. I am targeting Cooper though mainly because the guy is too talented not to find the end zone four weeks in a row. This could be Mike Evans all over again, but I’ll take my chances with him in GPP. Cash I am going cheaper to be honest because he is not a lock with an unfavorable matchup.
Marvin Jones Jr. - $7,300 (DET @ CHI)
I will likely be stacking Jones and Stafford in a few lineups. Jones has been a PPR monster for the Lions and should have a good shot against the Bears this week too. The Bears do not let up a ton of yardage, but in this scoring format Jones should return value and exceed it if he can find the end zone at least one.
Jamison Crowder - $4,200 (WAS vs. CLE)
What can you say about Crowder? His price point is great and he has hit value every week thus far. He is targeted heavily in the red zone and sees enough targets to be consistent enough for cash games. Crowder will be in many of my cash lineups as Cleveland has allowed the third most points to the WR position.
Greg Olsen - $6,000 (TEN vs. OAK)
You will see below that in my initial cash lineup I am playing two tight ends. Both will be mentioned here and both have two very different prices. I like the idea of pairing Olsen up with Newton. Even with the reemergence of Kelvin Benjamin, Olsen has been consistent. Plus, Olsen was still consistent last week when Benjamin was held without a catch and Cam Newton had his worst day of the year. Olsen is a lock for me against the Falcons defense who are surrendering the second most points to the TE position.
Travis Kelce - $4,800 (KC @ PIT)
This matchup is not great, but I like that Kelce has seen seven targets every game. He is not worth rostering in a GPP, but in cash he is consistent enough to return value – especially if he grabs a touchdown.
Zach Miller - $2,700 (CHI vs. DET)
Miller is coming off a two touchdown performance. I am surprised his price only went up slightly. At nearly minimum salary, Miller will be in many of my lineups, both cash and GPP alike. Miller paid off for me last week against the Cowboys who have given up the third most points to the TE position. The matchup gets even better as the Bears go against the Lions who are the worst against the tight end. I am pairing him with Olsen in my cash lineup below.
Remember, it is still early and a lot can change. Last minute inactives can make significant changes for a players’ value. For example, if Jamaal Charles starts, his price at $5,400 is amazing! If he doesn’t, Ware comes in at great value again at $5,700. The point is, stay tuned to Twitter and the Fantasy Life app for up to date information.